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ABSTRACT Evolutionary genomic approaches provide powerful tools to understand variation in and evolution of physiological processes. Untargeted genomic or transcriptomic screens can identify functionally annotated candidate genes linked to specific physiological processes, in turn suggesting evolutionary roles for these processes. Such studies often aim to inform modeling of the potential of natural populations to adapt to climate change, but these models are most accurate when evolutionary responses are repeatable, and thus predictable. Here, we synthesize the evolutionary genetic and comparative transcriptomic literature on terrestrial and marine invertebrates to assess whether evolutionary responses to temperature are repeatable within populations, across populations and across species. There is compelling evidence for repeatability, sometimes even across species. However, responses to laboratory selection and geographic variation across thermal gradients appear to be highly idiosyncratic. We also survey whether genetic/transcriptomic studies repeatedly identify candidate genes in three functional groups previously associated with the response to thermal stress: heat shock protein (Hsp) genes, proteolysis genes and immunity genes. Multiple studies across terrestrial and marine species identify candidates included in these gene sets. Yet, each of the gene sets are identified in only a minority of studies. Together, these patterns suggest that there is limited predictability of evolutionary responses to natural selection, including across studies within species. We discuss specific patterns for the candidate gene sets, implications for predictive modeling, and other potential applications of evolutionary genetics in elucidating physiology and gene function. Finally, we discuss limitations of inferences from available evolutionary genetic studies and directions for future research. 

Phenotypic plasticity and evolutionary adaptation allow populations to cope with global change, but limits and costs to adaptation under multiple stressors are insufficiently understood. We reared a foundational copepod species,Acartia hudsonica, under ambient (AM), ocean warming (OW), ocean acidification (OA), and combined ocean warming and acidification (OWA) conditions for 11 generations (approx. 1 year) and measured population fitness (net reproductive rate) derived from six life-history traits (egg production, hatching success, survival, development time, body size and sex ratio). Copepods under OW and OWA exhibited an initial approximately 40% fitness decline relative to AM, but fully recovered within four generations, consistent with an adaptive response and demonstrating synergy between stressors. At generation 11, however, fitness was approximately 24% lower for OWA compared with the AM lineage, consistent with the cost of producing OWA-adapted phenotypes. Fitness of the OWA lineage was not affected by reversal to AM or low food environments, indicating sustained phenotypic plasticity. These results mimic those of a congener,Acartia tonsa, while additionally suggesting that synergistic effects of simultaneous stressors exert costs that limit fitness recovery but can sustain plasticity. Thus, even when closely related species experience similar stressors, species-specific costs shape their unique adaptive responses. 

Metazoan adaptation to global change relies on selection of standing genetic variation. Determining the extent to which this variation exists in natural populations, particularly for responses to simultaneous stressors, is essential to make accurate predictions for persistence in future conditions. Here, we identified the genetic variation enabling the copepod Acartia tonsa to adapt to experimental ocean warming, acidification, and combined ocean warming and acidification (OWA) over 25 generations of continual selection. Replicate populations showed a consistent polygenic response to each condition, targeting an array of adaptive mechanisms including cellular homeostasis, development, and stress response. We used a genome-wide covariance approach to partition the allelic changes into three categories: selection, drift and replicate-specific selection, and laboratory adaptation responses. The majority of allele frequency change in warming (57%) and OWA (63%) was driven by shared selection pressures across replicates, but this effect was weaker under acidification alone (20%). OWA and warming shared 37% of their response to selection but OWA and acidification shared just 1%, indicating that warming is the dominant driver of selection in OWA. Despite the dominance of warming, the interaction with acidification was still critical as the OWA selection response was highly synergistic with 47% of the allelic selection response unique from either individual treatment. These results disentangle how genomic targets of selection differ between single and multiple stressors and demonstrate the complexity that nonadditive multiple stressors will contribute to predictions of adaptation to complex environmental shifts caused by global change.